If the federal raid on Innsmouth never happened, would New England fall within 20 years?

If Franz Ferdinand survived Sarajevo, when does the European war break out?

If Cosimo de' Medici was exiled permanently in 1434, would the Renaissance be delayed past 1500?

If Luo Ji never became the Swordholder, would Dark Forest deterrence last 5 years?

If Boromir took the One Ring, could Sauron conquer Middle-earth within 5 years?

If GPT-class models shipped in 1995, would the dot-com bubble still burst?

If Zhu Di never launched the Jingnan campaign, would the Jianwen Emperor live past 40?

If Wu Zetian had a male heir she trusted, would the Tang restoration in 705 still happen?

If Stalin died in 1937, would the Soviet Union survive past 1991?

If Caesar survived the Ides of March, would Rome remain a republic past 30 BC?

If Napoleon never invaded Russia, when does the French Empire collapse?